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January 31, 2008

Chess Lessons for Business and Government

John Kay uses Fischer vs. Spassky and the Cold War to illustrate the futility of master planning, whether in business or politics:

. . . People who hold to a single idea, or a fixed design, generally lose in chess, as they lose in battle, in business and in economics. Great chess players apply a variety of principles, they sense patterns, they hold a formidable range of models and analyses in their mind without being a slave to any of them.

As in chess, so it is in business and finance. We cope with an uncertain world through incremental and mostly unsuccessful innovation, not through extensive visions of the future. That is both why computer chess is not very interesting and why market systems outperformed planned economies. And why people who seek to remodel politics or business with grand designs are as mad as Bobby Fischer and far more dangerous.

Read Kay's entire essay here, and remember it as you listen to presidential candidates' plans on how they will "manage the economy" and make our lives better.

Posted by John on January 31, 2008 5:49 AM

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